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19 février 2015 4 19 /02 /février /2015 14:54
Europe:

The Sigma Whole Europe Index remains very strong and there is no sign of reversal at this stage. ECB's liquidity continues to fuel the market and it seems the blow off scenario could be on the agenda.

 

EU-Daily-Chart_SWEU_20150219.jpg

 

Looking at key EU indexes, the situation is the same across Europe:

 

EU-Daily-ChartCAC_20150219.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartDAX_20150219.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartSTOXX600_20150219.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartEUSMALL200_20150219.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartIBEX_20150219.jpg

 

The IBEX reached our stop level and we closed our short position: 10677.7 - 10823.5 = - 145.8 (loss)

 

The Sigma Trend Europe increased to '23' but it remains below the key '34' level.

 

steumodel20150218.PNG

 

United States:

The Sigma Whole Market Index remains strong, there is no sign of reversal at this stage but the market hasn't been able to move above the red horizontal resistance. So, a double top scenario remains possible.

 

US-Daily-Chart_SWM_20150219.jpg

 

There are important divergences among key US indexes: some are below resistances, other moved above their resistances while others are close to major supports. So, it is not so easy to draw a clear conclusion.

 

US-Daily-ChartNDX_20150219.jpg

US-Daily-ChartRUT_20150219.jpg

US-Daily-ChartMID_20150219.jpg

US-Daily-ChartDJT_20150219.jpg

US-Daily-ChartDJU_20150219.jpg

 

The Sigma Trend Index declined below the key '34' level in the last 2 sessions but the market hasn't been able to print a negative impulse  => no 'sell' signal at this stage. If we didn't get a negative impulse on Thursday, the warning signal will be cancelled and the ST model won't generate any 'sell' signal as long as the STI moves again above the key '34' level.

 

stmodel20150218.PNG

 

Daily Trading Book: 

- SPX: stopped
- NDX: long at 4236.28 (2014's close) (stop @ 4058, 5pts below the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- CAC: stopped
- EuroStoxx50: stopped
- DAX: stopped
- IBEX: stopped

 

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  • : Professionnel de la finance de marché depuis plus de 10ans, j'ai mis au point une série d'outils de trading me permettant de prendre et couper mes positions. Ici, j'écris un update quotidien sur la situation du CAC,DAX, Eurostoxx, SP500, Nasdaq100. Attention Les éléments repris dans ce blog représentent uniquement mon opinion personnelle et ne constituent en aucun cas une incitation au trading ou du conseil financier. Pour du conseil, consultez votre conseiller en placement
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