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27 février 2015 5 27 /02 /février /2015 09:17

First of all, sorry for yesterday but Over-blog was partially down for the whole day. So, I was unable to upload any charts. This is why I didn't post any update.

 

Europe:

The Sigma Whole Europe Index continues to move higher and higher in a nearly vertical pattern: ~= +30% since mid-October!!!! Mmmmm, thanks M. Draghi, short term you are a master but long term someone will have to pay the bill....

 

EU-Daily-Chart_SWEU_20150227.jpg

 

Looking at key European Indexes, we can notice the vertical pattern on all charts:

EU-Daily-ChartDAX_20150227.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartESTOXX_20150227.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartCAC_20150227.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartSMI_20150227.jpg

EU-Daily-ChartFTSE_20150227.jpg

 

Nevertheless, the Sigma Trend Index Europe starts to show some signs of weakness. A negative divergence appears between the Sigma Trend Index Europe and the Sigma Whole Europe Index. This is a major warning for the European equity market.

 

EU-Daily-SigmaTradingOscillator_20150227.jpg

 

The Sigma Trend Index remains above its key '34' level for the 6th time in 7 sessions. This kind of overheating is short term impressive but highly dangerous on a medium term basis.

 

steumodel20150226.PNG

 

United States:

The Sigma Whole Market Index remains strong and as long as it remains above the red horizontal support, there is no danger for US markets.

 

US-Daily-Chart_SWM_20150227.jpg

 

Nevertheless, we can see some clouds on the horizon. First of all, there is an important negative divergence between the Sigma Trend Index and the Sigma Whole Market Index. This is not good.

 

US-Daily-SigmaTradingOscillator_20150227.jpg

Secondly, some major indexes don't confirm recent strength and were not able to print new highs. This is something to carefully monitor.

 

US-Daily-ChartDJT_20150227.jpg

US-Daily-ChartDJU_20150227.jpg

 

The Sigma Trend Index continues to slide and it is now close to its zero line. Other indicators are neutral at '3'.

 

stmodel20150226.PNG

 

The ST model uplifted its stop on the NDX:

 

stndx20150226.PNG

 

Daily Trading Book: 

- SPX: stopped
- NDX: long at 4236.28 (2014's close) (stop @ 4097, 5pts below the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- CAC: short at 4852.47 (stop @ 4981, 5pts above the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- EuroStoxx50: short at 3511.63 (stop @ 3600, 5pts above the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- DAX: short at 11101.5 (stop @ 11392, 10pts above the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- IBEX: short at 11006.8 (stop @ 11216, 10pts above the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)

 

 

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  • : Le blog de sigmatradingoscillator
  • : Professionnel de la finance de marché depuis plus de 10ans, j'ai mis au point une série d'outils de trading me permettant de prendre et couper mes positions. Ici, j'écris un update quotidien sur la situation du CAC,DAX, Eurostoxx, SP500, Nasdaq100. Attention Les éléments repris dans ce blog représentent uniquement mon opinion personnelle et ne constituent en aucun cas une incitation au trading ou du conseil financier. Pour du conseil, consultez votre conseiller en placement
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